When the rules are set in Cardiff Bay and the tab is picked up in London, there are lots of cracks to fall through.
Labour enjoys huge majorities in this heartland of heartlands, but there are a few seats where the Tories are slowly getting competitive.
Whilst the leadership talks up 16 MSs, activists are angry about missing so many target seats and failing to mobilise the 2019 vote.
The latest results, news and analysis from Holyrood and Cardiff Bay as they come in.
It’s inconceivable that Plaid Cymru won’t make pressing for an independence referendum the price for its support in a coalition with Labour.
In 2007, it almost looked like the a plausible anti-Labour alternative for Wales. But things are very different today.
Health is one of the most pressing issues to get right in the upcoming Welsh Parliament elections.
In two decades, Wales has become one of the most centralised states in Europe.
Some fear this is part of deeper struggle within the party as a prominent pro-devolution MS is deselected by local activists.
Both the Conservatives and Plaid have gone on the attack, but can anything break Labour’s iron grip on Cardiff Bay this year?
May 6, 2021 will be a key day in our history. We now urgently need a Welsh Conservative administration in Cardiff Bay.
Labour administrations have undermined the constitutional settlement through misgovernment and pushing for more and yet more powers.
The different administrations are all in different places with increasing bad blood between them. Also, devosceptics look set to win seats in Wales.
Also: another miserable week in Government for the SNP; the deep damage of the Irish Protocol grow clearer by the day; and more.
Without proper constituency-level polling there is always room for doubt, but it looks as if Labour’s grip on Cardiff Bay is weakening.