There are good reasons why the latter is more likely.
Plus: Pipe down, John Mann. Pipe down, Justin Tomlinson. Why I love Paris. Why France hates Hollande. Teflon Theresa May. And: Why Labour doesn’t rate Miliband.
He could have then called, and won, a second General Election. So why did he strike a deal with the Lib Dems?
As the election draws nearer, Tory MPs are turning their minds to whether or when the Coalition should break up – and if so, how.
He would find it hard to sell a second Lib/Con coalition to his party…or to serve in a Lib/Lab coalition as Deputy Prime Minister.
Our ConHome surveys illuminate the realities of a more democratic approach.
The Welsh Secretary savages Carwyn Jones on education and health in his address to the Welsh conference.
I offer Conservatives and Liberal Democrat different reasons for writing on this site. Both are true – but here’s a third.
On the economy, Labour has been manoevered into going exactly where its opponents want it to be.
The Lib Dem Minister’s Lamborghini defence of Osborne’s pensions plan was a reminder of his contribution to the Coalition.
And the percentage opposing a deal with the LibDems? 92 per cent.
The Party as a whole should have a say in whether what is on offer is acceptable, if that happens.
Cameron’s options for a second term of government with Clegg are narrowing.
Would it be better to have a second Tory-LibDem coalition stretching to 2020, or a stand-alone policy that could put Miliband in Downing Street before then?
The Government shows no sign of putting the bilateral treaty option on the table. An opportunity to renegotiate has been lost.