It’s only a small improvement but the Labour lead is 6% in the Sunday Mirror. ICM find Labour on 39% and the Tories on 33%. Earlier this week – for The Guardian – the same pollster gave Labour 40% and the Tories 32%. ICM and YouGov both have the same headline figures. The Labour lead […]
A YovGov survey for The Telegraph gives Labour a 39% to 33% advantage. The LibDems are on 16%. The Labour lead is 1% greater than for last weekend’s Sunday Times. Other findings: 42% say Brown would make best PM; 20% Cameron and 6% Campbell. Labour 36% to 28% ahead of Tories on who is most […]
Remember this edition of The Guardian from February? That was when all of the newspapers were in a herd-like rush to say that Brown couldn’t beat Cameron. Seven months later and we wake up to a very different Guardian splash… The Guardian/ ICM poll shows that Labour has re-established a lead in all of ‘the […]
Tomorrow’s Guardian will carry an ICM poll that gives Labour an eight point lead over the Conservatives: 40%, 32%, 20%. It’s the biggest lead the pollster has recorded since David Cameron became leader. He is also rated as the least popular party leader, with a -8% satisfaction rating compared to Campbell’s -5% and Brown’s +32%. […]
A ComRes poll for The Independent shows a very slight improvement in Labour’s position. The two main parties were neck-and-neck a fortnight ago. This month Labour enjoys a slender 3% lead.
A YouGov survey for The Sunday Times gives Labour a 5% lead (the previous YouGov survey gave Labour a 3% lead). I expected a modest widening of the Labour lead and that has happened. I repeat my continuing belief that the true state of public opinion won’t really be clear until after the Party Conference. […]
It’s shouldn’t be too long before we get some more opinion polls. They will measure the impact of recent events. My prediction is that Brown’s lead will widen a little. The narrowing we saw in the most recent polls followed David Cameron’s successful August fightback. At that time we’d dominated the political stage in the […]
Labour lead just 1%. Tories 3.7% ahead in the 120 most marginal seats. Only 6% believe that Prime Minister Brown has made a real difference; 62% believe he has made no difference at all. A new opinion poll for The Times confirms last week’s private polling for the Conservative Party. The Populus pollster is suggesting […]
Ben Brogan teased us earlier with the news that two new polls will show that Team Cameron’s new emphasis on crime is closing the gap with Labour. We haven’t got the details yet but it may be that the 8% lead from YouGov last Friday was something of a rogue poll. But there’s a big […]
Going on the attack on crime gave the Conservatives some of the best headlines they’ve had in a long time, and no wonder. Today’s MORI poll for the Sun (click graphic to enlarge) continues the trend of law and order coming out as the most important issue for voters, and again the next biggest issue […]
Labour 37% (-2) Conservative 36% (+3) Lib Dems 16% (+1) UK Polling Report’s Anthony Wells has forced the release of the leaked internal Populus poll, under the British Polling Council’s disclosure rules: "It is obviously a sharp drop in the Labour lead and, for the Conservatives, this is back to the sort of levels of […]
Ben Brogan reckons a YouGov poll for tomorrow’s Telegraph will give Brown a wider lead than the 5% he got in the recent ICM poll, and that Cameron’s ratings have fallen. He quotes claims from CCHQ that their internal Populus polls show the opposite. A significant widening would go against most people’s instincts as the […]
Earlier today I posted on today’s ICM poll for The Guardian. I’ve now had a little more time to look at the survey and the most interesting detail comes in looking more closely at the newspaper’s regional analyses (summarised in The Guardian graphic on the right – click to enlarge). A leader in the Guardian […]
An ICM poll for today’s Guardian puts Labour 5% ahead. Labour’s lead is down 1% on a fortnight ago but the overall ratings of the parties are very stable. Most importantly, most of the fieldwork (22nd and 23rd August) was completed before the Liverpool shooting and the Conservative Party’s sure-footed response to that tragic event. […]
A YouGov poll for tomorrow’s Sunday Times puts Labour on 42%; 10% ahead of the Conservatives. The LibDems are down to 14%. Another poll – ICM for The Sunday Mirror – is a little better for the Tories. Labour is on 39%; 6% ahead of the Conservatives on 33% with the LibDems on 18%. 1am […]