The latest YouGov opinion poll for tomorrow’s Daily Telegraph shows a Conservative lead of 11%. The figures are: The most recent YouGov poll (for the Sunday Times) put the Tory lead at 13%, whilst the equivalent YouGov survey for the Daily Telegraph last month put it at 7%.
A YouGov poll for tomorrow’s Sun newspaper puts the parties on the following percentages: Comparisons are with the last pre-Christmas YouGov poll. The Sun report suggests that these figures would leave David Cameron 36 seats short of a majority. However, the UK Polling Report swing calculator computes that the Tories would only be 13 seats […]
Yesterday evening we blogged the latest ComRes poll and its finding that the Tory lead had grown to 5%. Within the detail of its poll The Independent finds that the Conservative lead would grow markedly if voters focused on the Tory policy of using public expenditure restraint to try and avoid higher taxes: "Asked how […]
ComRes had been the pollster showing the narrowest Conservative lead – just 1% in the last two polls – but another survey from ComRes for tomorrow’s Independent shows the Tory lead up to 5%. Probably not enough to say – as Andrew Grice does – that "The Brown bounce is over" but welcome news nonetheless. […]
This morning’s YouGov poll, published in the Daily Telegraph, is surely the final nail in the coffin of any speculation about Gordon Brown calling a snap general election early in the New Year. After the Prime Minister bottled calling an election in the autumn of 2007, I have always taken the view that it would […]
A new YouGov poll for tomorrow’s Daily Telegraph has the Conservative lead rising by one point to seven points. According to the UK Polling Report swing calculator, this would leave David Cameron nine seats short of an overall majority – although this does not take account of the fact that there will hopefully be some […]
The ICM survey for The Guardian also switches the ConHome Poll of Polls to favouring Labour as the largest party: Brown leads Cameron by 35% to 24% as the person most likely to get the economy back on track. Tory Whips are telling MPs to be ready for a 26th February election.
We’ve had three opinions polls over the weekend – from ComRes, YouGov and in today’s Mirror from Ipsos MORI. Taken together they point to a hung parliament and in The Sun Trevor Kavanagh raises the prospect of a February election. David Cameron will give another speech on the economy this morning as he wrestles to […]
Further to the ComRes survey, news of a second poll out tomorrow; it’s a YouGov poll in the Sunday Times: Comparisons are with the YouGov poll taken on the day of the Pre-Budget report, meaning an increase in the Tory lead from 4% to 6%. Fieldwork was conducted on Thursday and Friday. These numbers would […]
UK Polling Report has news of a poll in tomorrow’s Independent on Sunday: The changes are compared with the ComRes poll in the Independent on 2nd December. The fieldwork for this latest poll was done on Wednesday and Thursday. Electoral Calculus suggests that these latest figures – on a uniform national swing etc – would […]
A Populus poll for tomorrow’s Times has a Tory lead of 4%, down from a lead of 6% in the same poll last month. The figures are summarised below: It is the narrowest lead for the party in a Populus poll since March. The fieldwork for this survey was done between Friday and Sunday.
After a couple of encouraging polls in the immediate wake of the Pre-Budget Report, tomorrow’s Independent carries a new ComRes poll which reduces the Conservative lead over Labour to a single percentage point. The figures are: If repeated at the next General Election this is projected to give Labour an overall majority of 10 in […]
A week is a long time in politics, as the saying goes, and the last seven days are certainly testament to that. The week began with Alistair Darling’s Pre-Budget Report, which showed the country heading for record borrowing, and a devastating attack on the Government’s economic record by George Osborne. The following day, Nick Wood […]
An ICM poll for tomorrow’s Guardian suggests voters are unimpressed with the PBR. The Tory lead is up to 15%. More here.