The West of England was a narrow Conservative victory last time. It is likely to be closely fought again.
This region contains a sizeable clutch of those crucial ‘Labour Leave’ seats through which the Prime Minister is trying to pave his path to an overall majority.
If the Conservatives had won 42 per cent from them too, our research projects that she would have won with a comfortable 42-seat majority.
For Britain to prosper after Brexit, and Corbyn to be thwarted, the Northern Powerhouse is indispensable.
The Tories ousted Ed Balls and the Liberal Democrats managed to return two seats, but otherwise this region was a low-scoring draw for the main parties.
The region, which the Yorkshire Post argues should have its own Minister, is the scene of intense campaigning.
Treat claims of a communalist election with suspicion. The evidence suggests that ethnic minority voters prioritise domestic issues over foreign policy ones.