Although we should arm Ukraine, we should not fan the flames of a wider European war – but tighten our economic grip in a way never before seen.
Higher interest rates may slow the world economy later this year and early next. Recession is even possible for the UK.
Watch in particular for interaction between Ukrainian refugees and small boats as the year lengthens.
Geopolitical risks create uncertainty in energy markets as reliability is questioned, pushing up prices and creating resistance to climate change goals.
The situation will fester, which will pose major challenges for statecraft, and for the stability both of Ukraine and of surrounding areas.
If Xi Jinping comes to believe the West will not defend its allies, the consequences could be disastrous.
Re-calibrating policies to account for the reality of conflict and warfare today could not be more urgent.
Moreover, its leaders do not understand his motivations. He doesn’t want a win in Ukraine; he wants a continuing crisis.
At a time when the UK is reeling from the impact of cyber attacks by suspected Chinese agents, it is bizarre to chase friendship rather than follow caution.
A democratic government was swept away exactly a year ago, and the new regime’s main supporter China, needs to help avoid a humanitarian disaster.
The notion that businesses should focus less on profit for shareholders and more on social issues has been tested to its limits.
NATO must stand united against Russia’s desire to restore Soviet hegemony.
Those who wish to act against us or without us noticing, use these times of looking inward to act.
Britain’s calling is to lead the Anglosphere, a great power almost no one has given nearly enough thought about.